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学术沙龙|货币经济学讨论班(第68期):人口结构与全球失衡的演变

发布时间:2024-10-12    点击数:

分享论文

Demographics and the evolution of global imbalances (Journal of Monetary Economics, Michael Sposi, 2022)

分享人

张甜甜(金融学院,2022级博士生)

时间

2024年10月12日(周六)

下午15:00-17:00

地点

学术会堂712

主持人

王忏(金融学院)

赵军柱(304am永利集团官网中国经济与管理研究院)

论文摘要

The age distribution influences capital flows through aggregate saving and labor supply. To quantify this, I build a dynamic model featuring overlapping generations and international trade among 28 countries since 1970. The equilibrium is replicated by a model with a representative household in each country that experiences an endogenous discount factor, which summarizes the co-evolution of demographics and relevant prices, affording computation of the exact transition. On average, a one-year increase a countries mean age boosts its current account by 0.4 percent of GDP. Bilateral trade frictions dictate the cross-country response of capital flows to changes in a countries demographics.

活动对象

304am永利集团官网、金融学院员工

人数规模

30人

主办单位

304am永利集团官网中国经济与管理研究院、金融学院联合主办

撰稿:张甜甜

审稿:赵军柱

排版:曲泰莱

编辑:沈嘉怡

审核:王颖


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